E-Energy: The Impact of the Internet on the Energy Industry by Chris Trayhorn, Publisher of mThink Blue Book, November 15, 2000 Introduction Inconsistent regulations across states and lack of standards for independent energy transactions have created significant challenges and inefficiencies for the key participants to those transactions. But the shift that has already affected the way we procure other business products and services is now driving energy e-commerce. Energy consumers and energy suppliers are benefiting significantly from existing and emerging Internet commerce applications. This white paper discusses the fundamental challenges facing energy buyers and sellers in the traditional energy economy and describes emerging Internet technology solutions that provide vital benefits to both energy buyers and sellers in commercial and industrial markets. Levels of Energy Transactions There are three primary levels of business being transacted in competitive energy markets, some via the Internet, and some still using traditional methods. Wholesale On the wholesale level, trader-to-trader activity takes place to build a portfolio or the position of energy traders in the market. 1.3 trillion dollars of energy is transacted in the wholesale arena yearly. It is a crowded market with many traders and electronic trading platforms, all fighting for market share. Residential At the residential level, there are a number of businesses offering combined telephone, Internet, cable, and other services. The largest impediment is the rate at which deregulation is occurring and the amount residential customers are saving. Market research has found that savings in some geographies from switching providers could amount to as little as $3 per year. From the residential customer’s perspective, it doesn’t make sense to switch unless the savings are significantly more substantial. The motivation simply isn’t there. The deregulated residential market may work when a customer wants to purchase all the aforementioned services in a bundled product offering. For those who can crack it, the residential market is sizeable and has margins larger than any other. Facts and Figures Compelling Results Suppliers active on the Enermetrix.com Exchange realize lower cost of sales than other suppliers utilizing traditional techniques. While the traditional cost of sales for suppliers is 7 to 10 percent, the Exchange can reduce this cost component to 2 percent. According to a 1998 independent study by Hamilton Consultants, New York Gas buyers using the Enermetrix.com Exchange, who were switching from utility default service to a third-party supplier, reduced their energy costs by 9.7 percent on their first transaction and 19.2 percent on their second transaction. Consumers switching from an RFP-based, third-party energy supplier to a supplier on the Enermetrix.com Exchange reduced their costs by 6.1 percent on the first transaction and 11.9 percent on the second transaction. Cost reductions for second transactions are higher for both new and experienced consumers, because it is during the second transaction that customers realize the full benefits of the electronic commerce procurement process. Preliminary results in other states in the Northeast have yielded reductions of as high as 30 percent. Commercial and Industrial Another level is the commercial and industrial (C&I), or retail energy marketplace, where energy suppliers, selling energy from their portfolio, need to reach commercial and industrial customers. There are many commercial and industrial customers looking at e-procurement because of the savings and efficiency. In this market today, an Internet exchange can match energy buyers and sellers, acting as a vendor-neutral marketplace that results in the best prices and efficient processes for buyers. For the remainder of this white paper we will be discussing transactions in the C&I energy marketplace. Traditional Energy Buying and Selling Deregulation of the energy industry has fundamentally changed the industry’s economic model from vertically integrated to free market. In the past, the vertically integrated utility managed the supply, transmission, and distribution of energy, as well as performed all other aspects of customer service. Under the free market model, supply is sold into a wholesale trading environment. Entities that participate in the wholesale trading environment then resell their traded positions in the retail marketplace subject to the rules of the local distribution company and the seller’s contract. The seller executing the independent energy transaction is typically an energy marketer. The proliferation of independent energy transactions has created significant challenges and inefficiencies for buyers, sellers, and utility distribution companies and has led the way for a paradigm shift in the industry to online energy transactions. The Traditional Model The challenges facing buyers and sellers using traditional methods are many. Energy commodities are volatile, and prices of energy and ownership positions on energy commodities change frequently while traditional energy procurement methods and energy sales cycles are static, measured in weeks or months. There are many players in the market and deal parameters on both the sell and the buy sides are inconsistent. There are hundreds of sellers selling a financial instrument to millions of buyers. There are serious ramifications for both parties in executing transactions in this unpredictable environment. The Buyer For energy buyers, the deregulation of the energy industry is an important long-term, competitive issue. Energy costs typically fall into the top three to five operating costs for a business. An opportunity to reduce energy costs is an opportunity to reduce the per unit production/operating costs of a business’s goods and services. Businesses are competing in an increasingly global competitive economy and simply cannot afford to produce goods and services at costs that are even marginally higher than their competition, especially when alternatives exist. Bottom-line driven organizations switch suppliers of any product for minimal savings as long as such savings out weigh any switching costs and risks. Although the choices available in retail energy allow buyers the opportunity to reduce costs, very few buyers have been able to optimize savings in the new environment. Some have actually increased their energy costs, increased their financial risk, and increased administrative management costs. This places those energy buyers at a competitive disadvantage. The savings won’t come into effect until there is an efficient process that matches buyers of the commodity and services with the optimum seller(s). The Seller Energy suppliers are entities that span the spectrum from organizations with 5,000 traders and billions of dollars in physical assets to trading rooms with five people and no physical asset ownership. Energy commodity traders that resell their positions to the energy-consuming marketplace are experiencing significant sales and marketing overhead and inefficient transaction processing. Direct energy/commodity salespeople must collect energy consumption data from buyers, forward that information to their pricing desk, retrieve the offer, and present the offer to the buyer. Because no commodity trader ever consistently outperforms every other commodity trader, the salesperson is at the mercy of market volatility and his or her trading desk’s performance at the time of the transaction. As a result, the average solicitation results in a less than 10 percent closure rate. These inefficiencies and resultant high overhead create cost burdens for suppliers, including the opportunity to only bid on business, because even unsophisticated customers check two or three prices; the disclosure of positions to numerous non-buying entities; and accounts with consumers who must suffer the high overhead cost of doing business with that supplier. These challenges continue to add millions in additional annual operating costs for energy buyers and sellers. Existing technology and e-solutions can overcome these challenges. The E-Commerce Solution Energy is becoming one of the biggest sectors of the booming e-commerce marketplace. According to Forrester Research, utilities are the third-largest industry in terms of total potential online business trade, right alongside banking and financial services. Energy is a commodity whose quality cannot be distinguished from one electron to another. One supplier cannot offer a higher quality product than the next. However, the Internet offers advantages that allow suppliers to differentiate themselves by offering energy to more customers at lower costs with an easier transaction process. Energy buyers see savings in time and money. The Internet provides the platform to move the industry a step further, offering energy buyers and suppliers efficiencies of scale, easier processes, consistency in terms and conditions, access to vital information, historical data, credit information and more- all leading to savings. Advantages of E-Business The overhead and operating costs associated with reaching new markets is one of the largest costs energy suppliers experience. One of the greatest efficiencies of using the Internet to transact energy business is that it drives down these costs and the cost of transactions, which in turn results in lower costs to energy buyers and a better opportunity to win business. The direct sales and marketing of a commodity and the procurement of energy commodities with paper buying procedures are a losing value proposition. In the past, sellers have had to hire huge direct sales forces, arm them with contracts, and send them out to conduct business door-to-door or over the phone. Suppliers have since retracted from, or significantly reduced, their spending on this sales strategy because customer acquisition costs were substantial, and they simply were not making money. For energy buyers, the saving and process improvements from using an online exchange are significant. When a customer buys the commodity from the supplier through an online exchange, the customer receives more offers, increasing the chance for savings, and they are able to take advantage of market volatility instead of it working against them. When the market price matches the buying price and criteria of the consumer, a transaction can occur. In general, the advantages of business-to-business e-commerce are weighted more toward the buyer than the seller. In the past, a seller of anything from plastics to chemicals to energy had more knowledge than the buyer. An online exchange puts the power of information into the hands of the buyer. The buyer has the control to list the terms, conditions, and criteria by which they want to procure energy and force an “apples to apples” evaluation. Sellers then make offers based on that criteria. Internet Saves Time and Resources Doing business over the Internet saves suppliers money and resources. Labor efforts are narrowed substantially. By doing business online through a third party, energy suppliers gain access to customers without having to pay a direct sales force, reducing and even eliminating customer acquisition costs. The Internet can also be used to complement the traditional sales force of a utility or energy service company. Exchanges provide the tool to handle the complex details required to procure energy so that companies can concentrate on core competencies. They may also use the opportunity to sell a new service to existing clients. Web-Based Solutions for Buyers and Sellers: Online Energy Transactions An Internet exchange takes buying and selling energy to the next level, eliminating costly and time-consuming processes such as paper RFPs, streamlining the transaction process, and facilitating the sharing of data with enterprise systems. Energy buyers and sellers realize immediate savings when they have the opportunity to participate in an online exchange. Standardized Purchasing Procedures The online energy transaction is a real-time post-and-bid environment where transactions occur daily to match the needs of commercial and industrial energy buyers and energy sellers. The exchange assures that buyers’ energy orders reach the largest possible group of suppliers over the longest possible time period, subsequently resulting in lower prices than would be available through more traditional energy procurement approaches. An exchange fully automates the procurement process, making energy purchasing easier, and reducing the time buyers need to spend on the energy procurement function. In today’s deregulated market, energy buyers are bombarded with often confusing information from numerous energy suppliers, many of which the buyer knows nothing about. An Internet exchange eliminates the time-consuming and resource-draining traditional procurement method, while ensuring customers get the best possible price for their energy needs. An Internet exchange allows for the standardization of terms and contracts under which suppliers and buyers operate. With traditional methods, terms and conditions could be drastically different, making the best offer difficult to determine. Now buyers can compare “apples to apples” to determine whether they are getting the best price. Internet-based purchasing systems reduce the confusion associated with non-standardized contracts. A rules-based exchange facilitates conformity of supplier standards, as well as predictable results for buyers. Overcoming Market Challenges Businesses seeking to overcome the challenges created by market changes should consider conducting business over the Internet. Because of its ever-increasing size, accessibility, speed and functionality, the Internet is the most efficient and powerful environment in which to interact with a wide range of customers. The impact that the Internet will have on virtually every aspect of every business cannot be overstated. Business environments are being driven by new business rules and processes. Focusing time and effort on improving old value chains is not enough. An example of this would be to create electronic version of a paper RFP. Although this is better than the mass mailing of RFPs, it does not fix the problem of why RFPs are not optimal for commodity transactions. Those who seek to automate old value chains will likely be rapidly surpassed by a competitor’s focus on creating new value chains in technology and process improvement. Old and inefficient value chains need to be replaced. Every step of every value chain requires or creates some information. New processes involve new data sets and information technology is a key differentiator in executing better than the competition. Decide which new pieces of information are required in a value chain, what process needs to be executed, and which old process is no longer needed. Automate the new model – not the old one. Competitive energy markets are driven by transactions (exchanges of product, service, and payment) that occur between buyers, sellers, and utilities. Internet-based models that seek to optimize the new transaction environment must process and manage transactions as opposed to sharing information in bulletin board environments under subscription or advertising-based models. The transaction platform that will be most widely adopted by participants will not only be highly efficient, but it will also provide the parties with high value-adding, energy-related knowledge and services. Challenges Facing Energy E-Commerce E-commerce is redefining business processes, but there are other challenges that need to be overcome. E-commerce energy platforms can be difficult to get started. An equilibrium of buyers and sellers is needed to induce a competitive market environment. Without a balance of both, the potential exists for one of the parties not to realize value and leave the platform. Domain expertise is critical. It is far easier for a company with energy expertise to deploy a platform than it is for a company with a platform to develop the expertise in energy procurement. Overcoming E-Commerce Challenges The electronic links to local energy suppliers, along with information services available through today’s energy management service firms, greatly increase efficiencies by cutting processing and payment times. Web-based software allows commercial and industrial users to access and analyze energy-use data and associated costs on a real-time, hour-by-hour basis. Timely information on load profiles, bill summaries, exception reports, and weather means users have an increased level of control over one or more commercial and industrial facilities. A study by Andersen Consulting in mid-1999 noted that the websites of most utilities are informational, and not transactional in nature, but utilities facing more competitive marketplaces are developing Web strategies. The level of development of any given utility’s website is an indication of how serious that company is about doing business online. According to a Chartwell survey, about half of U.S. utility customers will have access to services like electronic bill payment and online sign-up for service by 2001. Energy E-Commerce Success Story The Enermetrix.com Exchange deploys a vendor-neutral approach wherein energy buyers are organized for real-time, competitive, post-and-bid commodity procurement. The system is used to analyze historical energy costs and market conditions and to execute smart energy procurement transactions for consumers. A bid is accepted only after it is determined that the transaction is favorable to the buyer. The consumer is relieved of the challenge and wasted time and effort in dealing with multiple sales organizations. The energy procurement process is reduced to a computer transaction that yields compelling results. The Future of Energy E-Commerce The Internet is quickly becoming a distribution highway for business transactions. What will the future of online energy business look like? We will see many energy sites announced in the coming months, all in search of being the winner in their category. Most will fail, some will be acquired, and in the end the companies that succeed will have gained liquidity by providing efficient processes and value added services to their users. There are many more considerations involved, such as getting load profiles from the utility; obtaining real-time, smart metering; arranging for utility bill credits; third-party verification of changes in energy provider to assure that slamming was not involved; and the amount of time it might take for the utility to transfer customer information. When everything shakes out, three companies will own 70 percent of the market – one company from the wholesale side, one serving the residential market, and one for the commercial and industrial sector. The vertical energy market is one that will not have enough room for multiple solutions that each capture 10 to 15 percent of the market. It is more efficient and makes more sense to view the energy industry like the paradigm of the computer network. The value of the network increases by the number of nodes connected to the network, squared. Once an exchange starts to gain ground and becomes the industry standard, it will have the advantage over the competition and other companies contemplating entering the market. Filed under: White Papers Tagged under: Utilities About the Author Chris Trayhorn, Publisher of mThink Blue Book Chris Trayhorn is the Chairman of the Performance Marketing Industry Blue Ribbon Panel and the CEO of mThink.com, a leading online and content marketing agency. He has founded four successful marketing companies in London and San Francisco in the last 15 years, and is currently the founder and publisher of Revenue+Performance magazine, the magazine of the performance marketing industry since 2002.