Do Your Metrics Measure Up?

Steve DiPietro is amazed at how frequently he listens to prospective clients parroting clickthrough percentages, Web traffic statistics and conversion ratios with great enthusiasm but little-to-no understanding of their value to their organizations. Increasing a conversion rate from 12 to 15 percent can become a goal unto itself as marketers immersed in number crunching can lose sight of the fact that sales aren’t also growing.

Making Sense of Metrics

ALGORITHM: A set of mathematical equations or rules that a search engine uses to rank the content contained within its index in response to a particular search query.

ANALYTICS: Technology that helps analyze the performance of a website or online marketing campaign.

BENCHMARK REPORT: A report used to market where a website falls on a search engine’s results page for a list of keywords. Subsequent search engine position reports are compared with that.

CHARGEBACK:An incomplete sales transaction that results in an affiliate commission deduction. For example: merchandise is purchased and then returned.

CLICK & BYE: The process in which an affiliate loses a visitor to the merchant’s site once they click on a merchant’s banner or text link.

CLICKTHROUGH: The process of activating a link, usually on an online advertisement connecting to the advertiser’s website or landing page.

CLICKTHROUGH RATE (CTR): The percentage of those clicking on links out of the total number who see the links. For example: If 20 people do a Web search and 10 of those 20 people all choose one particular link, that link has a 50 percent clickthrough rate.

CONVERSION RATE: The percentage of clicks that result in a commissionable activity such as a sale or lead.

CONVERSION REPORTING: A measurement for tracking conversions and lead generation from search engine queries. It identifies the originating search engine, keywords, specific landing pages entered and the related conversion for each.

HIT: Request from a Web server for a graphic or other element to be displayed on a Web page.

IMPRESSION: An advertising metric that indicates how many times an advertising link is displayed.

KEYWORD: The word(s) a searcher enters into a search engine’s search box. Also the term that the marketer hopes users will search on to find a particular page.

PAGE VIEW: This occurs each time a visitor views a Web page, irrespective of how many hits are generated. Page views are comprised of files.

RANK: How well a particular Web page or website is listed in a search engine’s results.

UNIQUE VISITORS: Individuals who visited a site during the report period – usually 30 days. If someone visits more than once, they are counted only the first time they visit.

“It’s sad and somewhat surprising that after all this time there is a pervasive lack of understanding … of how these numbers correlate with how to make money,” says DiPietro,who works with clients large and small as the president of the Marlton,N.J.-based DiPietro Marketing Group.

Many marketers continue to rely on basic campaign performance data as the primary or even sole metric for measuring success, according to DiPietro. People often get caught up in the measurability of online campaigns and miss the ultimate corporative objective of a marketing campaign – to increase profitability.

Despite many marketers’ incomplete understanding of how buying keywords affects the bottom line, search marketing spending continues to grow rapidly. According to a survey conducted by the Search Engine Marketing Professional Organization (SEMPO), advertisers in the U.S. and Canada spent $5.75 billion on search engine marketing in 2005, up 44 percent from 2005. Search engine marketing spending in North America is projected to reach $11 billion per year by 2010.

Some marketers whose careers started in the brick-and-mortar world have seemingly become spellbound by the top-level data for measuring marketing campaigns and forget their “old-school” fundamental tenets about increasing sales and stockholder value, according to DiPietro. Finding methods of doubling the conversion rate of a keyword campaign is admirable, but who cares if sales don’t grow? Estimating the value of a keyword purchase by focusing on clickthrough rates or increasing traffic to the website is an easy way to justify spending, but may be totally meaningless, DiPietro says.

The clickthrough ratio is analogous to the batting average in baseball – it is easy to compute and understand, and therefore is the most relied-upon statistic. However, during the past few decades, baseball executives such as the Oakland A’s Billy Beane, who probe deeper into statistics, have learned that other metrics – such as on-base percentage – are more directly related to achieving the objective (scoring more runs). The A’s have managed to succeed while spending considerably less than competitors, and many fellow baseball executives now are looking beyond the batting average. Similarly, marketers who identify the metrics that more closely correlate to their specific goals can increase their success.

MATCHING GOALS

Getting customers to your website is an important first step in increasing revenue, but determining the return on the investment requires analyzing what happens after they arrive at your doorstep. “You must have an action attached to [increasing traffic] or the campaign is useless,” says Douglas Brooks, vice president of consulting firm Marketing Management Analytics.

Before embarking on a campaign, marketers must define the objective – be it increasing leads, sales or brand recognition – and apply the appropriate metric, according to Brooks. The most appropriate metric may depend on whether the company is focused on e-commerce sales or if sales staff is usually involved in any transaction. Different yardsticks are appropriate for companies that use their website as a direct sales channel than for companies who are focused on generating leads that are converted off-line, he says.

Companies that rely on sales personnel should look at the volume of leads a campaign generates, according to Jerry Moyer, manager of analytics at interactive agency Refinery. Moyer says he tells his media clients – many of whom continue to focus on clickthrough rates – that tracking leads is a more effective barometer of campaign performance.

Campaigns that drive traffic to a website that cannot identify where visitors came from may be over- or underestimating their effectiveness, according to Moyer. By using first-party cookies and analyzing all of the activities that occur over time, advertisers can better understand the value of the leads generated.

Using cookies enables marketers to identify the unique visitors, according to Andrew Hanlon, who owns advertising agency Hanlon Creative. Cookies enable companies to track how many times a visitor was exposed to messaging during an entire campaign, as well as counting the total number of interactions on a website before visitors enter personal information and become a lead. “Unique visitors is the most raw level of success; you have to consider how many [leads resulted],” Hanlon says.

For example, Designer Linens Outlet implemented first-party cookies and saw revenue from returning customers increase by 45 percent and shopping cart conversions increase by 20 percent, according to Web analytics firm WebTrends, which managed the campaign.

Measuring the quality of leads is as important as the clickthrough ratios or total Web traffic generated by a campaign, according to Hanlon. He says many of his Hatboro, Pa., agency’s clients ($20 million to $1 billion in sales) “rarely know what they are asking for” when trying to gauge the impact of campaigns on sales.

He stresses to clients the importance of tracking leads throughout the entire sales process. “The client has to be able to act on the data – what happens with the lead after it is collected,” he says. The ability of keywords to generate leads varies widely, says Hanlon. Marketers should use metrics that create quality leads versus those that merely drive traffic.

If branding is the goal, then measuring increases in traffic can be appropriate since many keywords generate low-quality leads, Hanlon says. Companies looking to reinforce messaging through multiple media should consider several online metrics, according to Jason Palmer, vice president of product strategy at WebTrends.

LANDING CLIENTS

Some campaigns are incorrectly viewed as ineffective because of low conversion rates, according to consultant Hanlon. Landing pages that were not designed to entice visitors to delve deeper into a website could turn away potential leads, so their effectiveness must also be evaluated. Landing pages should have interesting content such as blogs or unique offers to encourage clickthroughs, says Hanlon. Companies should measure conversion ratios after visitors hit a landing page, and if they are shown to be “dead ends,” they should revise the landing pages to add more content, he says.

Software companies including WebTrends and Salesforce.com are developing applications that zero in on landing-page performance. For example, Webtrends Dynamic Search evaluates the effectiveness of the landing page and keyword in matching specific company objectives.

Tweaking the content of a landing page can increase the percentage of clicks converted to leads by as much as a factor of 10, according to Kraig Swensrud, senior director of product marketing at Salesforce.com. Tracking and improving landing-page conversions is equivalent to increasing money spent on Google AdWords, he says. “Everything is interconnected – as soon as you have visibility on [landing-page] conversion rate, you can impact change,” says Swensrud.

FROM CLICKS TO SALES

The best metrics link gains in Web traffic or clickthrough percentage to the overall business objectives – increasing sales, profitability and effect on the stock price. Consultant DiPietro recommends the break-even sales analysis is applied to off-line marketing should be applied online. Companies should calculate how many sales – based on the profit margin per average sale – would have to be generated to determine whether or not a campaign is a good investment.

“Whether it’s participating in a trade show, setting up an affiliate program or a PPC campaign, work it back to break-even sales,” DiPietro says.

Connecting the dots between Web analytics and sales data has been largely a manual process for DiPietro, who spends more hours than he would like handcrafting spreadsheets to complete his analysis.

Web analytics firms such as WebTrends, Omniture and WebSideStory are addressing this software void with applications and services that can link Web and sales data to simplify calculating the return on investment. These applications can incorporate Web data such as traffic analysis, email marketing and search marketing performance with customer relationship management sales data.

Accurately gauging the value of a campaign to a company’s bottom line, tracking a visit as it becomes a lead and until the sales cycle is completed is what should be measured, according to WebTrends’ Corey Gault. Web data should be combined with higher-level key performance indicators (KPIs) such as cost per visit, cost per lead and cost per sale, he says. “KPIs can also be combinations of various metrics, such as revenue dollar per marketing dollar spent, or percent of orders from repeat purchasers,” says Gault.

Measuring the lifetime value of online branding campaigns is challenging for companies that also sell off-line, as the ability to automate the process ends at the desktop. Refinery’s Moyer says customer surveys are an efficient method to link online with offline impressions. The surveys incorporate data collected by contacting customers about their behaviors before and after campaigns, and factor in both online and off-line (broadcast, print, outdoor) impressions. This enables companies to calculate how the campaign contributed to the overall sales effort, he says.

Metrics should factor in all of the times a company interacts with the customer, not only the most recent, which can skew performance data, according WebTrend’s Gault. “Many marketing analytics solutions credit the conversion to the last campaign touched, effectively undervaluing all the programs that initiated awareness and consideration.”

Vendors are also re-engineering their products so that sales data can automatically be integrated with Web analytics to complete the campaign-to-revenue analysis.

“The ability to tie marketing metrics with sales metrics is one of the biggest problems that customers have,” according to Salesforce.com’s Swensrud. To address the difficulty in understanding the impact of keyword purchases on sales, the company introduced Salesforce for Google Adwords late in 2006. The software, which is sold as a service, traces the leads generated by keyword purchases and follows them through the sales process to determine their return on investment.

COMPARING OPTIONS

Although comparing current campaign- to-revenue performance with historical data is informative, marketers should create a baseline of return on investment so that they understand the relative value of each type of online campaign.

The cost per thousand of a keyword campaign may seem relatively low when compared with cost of an email marketing campaign. However, determining the return on investment of each can justify what appear to be higher costs per customer contact, according to Marketing Management Analytics’ Brooks. He says calculating the individual return on investment for each type of online campaign enables an apples-to-apples comparison.

For example, the lifetime value of a customer acquired through keyword buys might be a fraction of that of someone originally contacted via email. After factoring in revenue, marketers can better decide the best marketing mix for their collective media expenditures.

The volume of statistics contained in monthly Web analytics reports can make it a challenge to interpret the metrics that matter most. The bottom line: Don’t forget about the bottom line.

JOHN GARTNER is a Portland, Ore.- based freelance writer who contributes to Wired News, Inc., MarketingShift, and is the editor of Matter-mag.com.

Going Global

Affiliate Networks are striving to extend their reach by entering foreign markets, but local challenges threaten their chances of international stardom.

If the affiliate model is effective for selling necklaces in Nantucket, shouldn’t it also work to move wurst in Wittenberg and mobiles in Manchester?

U.S.-based affiliate networks are hopeful that taking their business models to all four corners of the globe will translate into the same kind of success that they have enjoyed in North America. The networks see nations that have lagged behind the U.S. in embracing e-commerce as fertile ground for sowing the seed of performance marketing.

Commission Junction set down roots in the U.K. and Germany, while LinkShare put out its shingle in Japan. Both companies, as well as their European counterparts, have designs on extending their global footprint sooner rather than later. Commission Junction, LinkShare and Performics are the leading U.S. affiliate networks.

Going Gangbusters Globally

"My prediction for 2005 is that this will be the year that affiliate marketing truly goes global," says Heidi Messer, president and COO of LinkShare. Messer says the company "will be aggressive in expanding into Europe" and is interested in participating in the burgeoning economies of China, Korea and Australia.

LinkShare began its global odyssey three years ago, according to Messer, when it partnered with Mitsui & Company, a leading Japanese retailer. LinkShare provided the marketing platform while Mitsui contributed the business relationships and knowledge of the local requirements. "Going it alone wasn’t a possibility," says Messer, because each country has its own buying pattern, laws and culture.

Messer says LinkShare is evaluating opening networks in European countries on an individual basis. "We are very methodical and will not enter markets where we are not 100 percent committed," she says.

The increasing willingness of Europeans to purchase goods and services online makes the region a likely destination for American marketers, according to Hellen Omwando, an analyst with Forrester Research’s consumer markets group. Omwando says that within the first year of going online, 16 percent of Europeans now buy items such as travel and clothing, whereas in years past only 2 percent would have purchased commodity items such as CDs or books online in the first 12 months.

Omwando says that affiliates’ potential audience is also growing – 55 percent of Europeans online now participate in ecommerce. "It’s all good news from a consumer perspective," she says.

The United Kingdom and Germany are driving most of the growth in Europe and account for two-thirds of all e-commerce, according to Omwando. Not surprisingly, Commission Junction launched its first two European affiliate initiatives in those two countries.

"We are up to our eyeballs in international expansion," says Elizabeth Cholawsky, vice president of marketing and product development at Commission Junction. She adds that the company will next launch in France in mid-2005, and that Spain and Italy are also priorities for expansion.

By entering new markets, the company would be able to better serve its advertisers through an international network of websites, says Cholawsky. In addition to Europe, Commission Junction has launched eBay in India and Australia, and has China on its radar.

The most difficult aspect of Commission Junction’s European launch was not technological or cultural, but bureaucratic, according to Cholawsky. She says that because European tax officials are not well-versed in the intricacies of e-commerce, the company hired auditing firm PricewaterhouseCoopers to work with government representatives in the U.K. and Germany. The European Union’s adoption (with the exception of the U.K. and Switzerland) of the euro has simplified currency exchange.

The company hired a design firm from Germany and a language translation firm from Washington, D.C., to create a website acceptable to local affiliates, according to Cholawsky. She says launching in the U.K. first simplified establishing a presence in Germany. "Europe has more things in common than different," she says. "Culturally it’s similar all around."

European expansion has contributed to Commission Junction’s rapid growth. The company’s revenue jumped from $24 million in 2003 to an estimated $54 million in 2004, says Cholawsky.

Affiliate network Performics is unlikely to join the European fray this year, according to Chris Henger, senior vice president. He says Performics is focusing on integrating its resources with new parent company DoubleClick. "In the longer term you could see us moving in that direction, but it’s not an immediate strategy," Henger says. 

Navigating the Potholes

Ashley Friedlein, CEO of London-based E-Consultancy.com, says that incumbent local companies have the upper hand over Americans in attracting retailers. "European merchants want to deal with companies who understand their markets," he says.

Citizens of each country have their own preferred methods of purchase, revenue model, topselling products and legal requirements, according to Friedlein. Europeans are much more likely to purchase products through their mobile phones, and the laws for online data protection and privacy protections vary from country to country, he says.

European e-commerce trends run about six to 10 months behind the U.S., Friedlein says. And European affiliates continue to use the pay-per-click revenue model that Americans have largely moved beyond, according to Friedlein. Search engine marketing in Europe requires local expertise, especially for American companies used to operating in a Googlecentric universe.

Europeans have their own searchengine marketing techniques, and affiliates and merchants are working out how to cooperate with search partners, according to Friedlein. He says that affiliates and retailers have been in a bidding war over getting priority for brand names in search engine rankings. "It’s a bone of contention," he says.

One similarity with American affiliate marketing is that merchants depend on a few affiliates for most of their revenues. "I reckon that 90 percent of sales come from 10 percent of affiliates," Friedlein says.

Affiliate marketing’s rapid growth in Europe has made it difficult for retailers to find in-house expertise to manage their programs, according to Friedlein. Many large retailers do not have a dedicated affiliate manager, so the responsibility is either part of the marketer’s job, or it’s outsourced.

European sales generated through affiliates during 2004 are estimated at $1.1 billion, a 100 percent increase over the previous year, Friedlein says, and he expects similar growth this year. Friedlein says 3.5 percent of all e-commerce sales in Europe are generated by affiliates.

Forrester’s Omwando warns that while affiliate marketing in Europe is in a comparatively early stage of development, Americans looking to land on the Continent in 2005 may have a hard time forging relationships. Europe already has three significant networks in place: Zanox in Germany; TradeDoubler, which has operations in 16 nations; and Commission Junction, which began its U.K. operation in 2001.

She says retailers unfamiliar with affiliate marketing are unlikely to partner with a foreign entity. "Marketing at the end of the day is very localized, and anyone participating has to understand the nuances and cultural sensitivities," Omwando says.

For example, to work with German companies, networks must first establish relationships with the local trade associations, Omwando says.

"I really don’t see what the opportunity is for American companies," she says. To have any chance at attracting European retailers, American companies must bring with them an impressive roster of international advertisers, according to Omwando.

Inevitable Intersection

The American networks’ grab for affiliates abroad will put them in direct competition with European companies that also have designs on expanding into Asia, and perhaps even in the U.S.

TradeDoubler poses a formidable challenge to foreign competitors. The company has been in operation since 1999 and has a presence in 16 European countries.

It is assessing possible expansion into Asia, and clients have frequently asked TradeDoubler to consider opening an office in the U.S., according to Will Cooper, chief marketing officer.

"Having a pan-European footprint has given us access to the world’s largest advertisers," says Cooper, who counts Dell, Apple, Sony and Reebok among his clients. TradeDoubler’s network includes more than 800 advertisers and 450,000 publishers across Europe.

Cooper says the challenge of starting networks in several European countries should not be underestimated. Each country has a unique cultural and business climate that requires networks to retool their business model, he says. "Every market is so incredibly different in terms of things such as broadband penetration, size of market and payment models," Cooper says.

While Spain and the U.K. are both large markets with populations of more than 40 million, their e-commerce demographics are quite different, according to Cooper. The U.K. has the most mature e-commerce marketplace, and the costper- action revenue model works well. But Spain has very different characteristics. "The culture is not to buy online. People prefer being able to touch the products," Cooper says, and cost-per-click is the preferred commission structure.

Heavier reliance on mobile phones provides another opportunity for networks looking to move into Europe. TradeDoubler developed a program for Swedish mobile phone users who are more comfortable with brick-and-mortar purchases. Customers can download coupons that contain an identification number for the referring affiliate to their mobile phones, which they take to the checkout counter where scanners read the coupons.

Another example of a TradeDoubler affiliate program designed for a specific country is its British lottery program. After registering online, Britains text message their Lotto picks, which takes advantage of the U.K.’s interest in mobile phone e-commerce.

Zanox, an affiliate network based in Germany that spans 22 European countries, launched the ring-tone download service Jamster in the U.S. and Australia. "You cannot compare Europe and the States," says Holger Kamin, Zanox’s executive account director.

Kamin says his company has an advantage over American networks because it has already established relationships with major retailers in Europe and provides many affiliate services, including consulting, email permission marketing programs and a transaction platform.

The cultural differences between countries that share a common language can be difficult for non-Europeans to understand. "You can’t think that because they speak the same language in Austria, Switzerland and Germany that the culture is the same," Kamin says.

To succeed in the long term, affiliate networks must have international reach, according to Kamin. "This business is global," he says. Kamin predicts that the market will consolidate to five top-tier international affiliate networks that will compete with smaller regional players.

 Northern Exposure

American affiliate networks are not alone in their hemisphere in seeking a share of the international marketing dollars. Canadian affiliates are enjoying success selling products such as prescription medicine, adult content and sports books in the United States.

Nicky Senyard, CEO of Montreal-based network ShareResults.com, says merchants in her country are significantly behind their southern neighbors in understanding affiliate marketing. "Online merchants don’t know what they are or how they are to be used," Senyard says. Many Canadian affiliates are currently selling American products, but her company and others are educating Canadians on the possibilities of selling their goods in the U.S.

Just as Commission Junction and others are now operating networks in Canada, she expects that Canadian networks will increasingly do business in the U.S. "[Opportunity] flows in both directions," Senyard says.

American networks that wait until 2006 to launch European initiatives may find the window of opportunity closed. Local companies who become established with retailers now will have a definite advantage, according to Gary Stein, a senior analyst with Jupiter Research. "The advantage is to the incumbent," Stein says. U.S.-based advertisers who are expanding their European online marketing programs have to weigh the factors of familiarity with American networks versus local expertise, according to Stein. "There are arguments on both sides of the equation."

 

JOHN GARTNER is a freelance writer in Portland, Ore. He is a former editor at Wired News and CMP. His articles regularly appear on Wired.com, AlertNet.org and in MIT’s TechnologyReview.com.